Case Study  ·  White Paper

Tracing phosphorus from field to recovery.

A global fertilizer leader wanted to know whether phosphorus could flow in a circular system. We mapped the full value chain across the US and Canada, quantified volumes at every stage and delivered a white paper to guide policy.

The Client

The client is a global leader in the fertilizer industry. It wanted data to inform regulation and progress toward net-zero fertilizers.

The Challenge

One nutrient.
Track it end to end.

Prescouter was asked to quantify phosphorus mass balances across the full value chain, from production and use to disposal, to assess whether a circular system is feasible.

  • Production

    Where it comes from

    Sizing current phosphorus production.

  • Use

    Where it goes

    Tracking flows to farms and beyond.

  • Recovery

    What can return

    Finding realistic recovery potential.

Our Approach

Building the numbers over ten rounds of research.

Value chain mapping
10research rounds completed

Map every segment

We delineated each segment of the phosphorus value chain before collecting the data.

Data analysis
2countries modeled

Quantify the flows

We analyzed large datasets to size phosphorus volumes for the US and Canada at county level.

Validation
Localand global balances compared

Check the totals

We validated the final numbers by comparing local farmland balances with global mass balances.

The Outcome

A white paper shaping future ESG policy.

Prescouter delivered a white paper detailing and quantifying phosphorus flows across the entire value chain. It showed where current production goes, the realistic potential for recovery and where regulation is needed, helping shape the client’s future ESG policy.

  • Flows

    Every stage quantified

    From production to disposal.

  • Recovery

    Realistic recovery potential

    Grounded in North American data.

  • Policy

    ESG policy guidance

    Shaping the client’s next steps.

Circularity claims need hard numbers. A full mass balance shows where recovery is realistic and where policy must step in.

Let’s Talk

Where could your nutrients come full circle?

Build the evidence that guides policy and investment. Wherever you’re starting from, we’ll help you get there.

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